Friday, January 07, 2011

Saturday NFL Playoff Games: Jets/Colts

The second of tomorrow's games will take us to Lucas Oil Stadium, home of Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts.

We've already heard Jets head coach belly aching about how Manning is wearing on his teams (Remember that Ryan was previously the defensive coordinator for the Baltimore Ravens). Here's the TV info...

Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
Network: NBC
Announcers: Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth

A rematch of last season's AFC championship game. The Colts won that one, 30-17. The Jets return to hopefully extract a bit of revenge for not only that game, but for Ryan as well.

When the Colts have the ball...

Scoring (Rk) Total Yds (Rk) Pass Yds (Rk) Rush Yds (Rk)

offense
27.2 (4th) 380.8 (4th) 288.1 (1st)92.7 (29th)

defense
19.0 (6th) 291.5 (3rd) 200.6 (6th) 90.9 (3rd)

This is the matchup to watch: Darelle Revis and Pierre Garcon. Antonio Cromartie is nursing a bad groin (don't go there) and there's no way Ryan will pit Cromartie against the Colts fastest receiver. Jets fans better hope that Revis is finally 100% back from hammie issues, too.

The weirdest stat is how low the Colts are in running the ball in comparison to how much they throw. So how does the Colts offense function so well? Play action works with #18 back there. Plus, the Colts run the ball just enough so that opponents have to respect it.

The burning question will be who else will be able to help Manning besides Garcon? Does it really matter? If he's on the field, Manning will find him. He always does.

When the Jets have the ball...

Scoring (Rk) Total Yds (Rk) Pass Yds (Rk) Rush Yds (Rk)

offense
22.9 (13th) 351.0 (11th) 202.6 (22nd)148.4 (4th)

defense
24.2 (23rd) 341.6 (20th) 214.6 (13th) 127.0 (25th)

Where do you start here? Easy. LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene. The Jets must get the rushing attack going full bore. That is the glaring weakness of the COlts defense. They can rush a QB, but they can be pushed around. That was the theory heading into last year's AFC championship game. But for some odd reason, when the playoffs roll around, the Colts D toughens up against the run.

Football: Jets-v-Eagles, Sep 2009 - 03
A good sight for Jets fans. No Freeney or Mathis.
Image by Ed Yourdon via Flickr
If the Jets cannot run, I look for QB Mark Sanchez to endure plenty of punishment at the hands of Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. Those two will simply be pinning their ears back and going for the sack. But the Jets do have a couple of nice receivers.

Braylon Edwards and Santonio Holmes must be on the ready to bail out Sanchez in blitzing situations. And they might want to hold on to the ball, too. Both can develop cases of the "dropsies".

A high powered offense against a rugged defense. A running offense against a perceived weak defense. Take your pick here, right?

I never bet against Manning.

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